Muhammed Bulutay
"L’histoire des sciences est l’histoire des défaites de l’irrationalisme."
Gaston Bachelard, L’Activité rationaliste de la physique contemporaine, (PUF, ed. 1951), p.27.
Publications
[4] Measuring strategic-uncertainty attitudes
(with Lisa Bruttel, Camille Cornand, Adam Zylbersztejn, and Frank Heinemann)
Experimental Economics, 2023, 26, pp. 522-549.
[+]Article [+]GATE WP [+]Thread
A pre-results reviewed experiment in which we propose a method for measuring strategic-uncertainty attitudes.
[3] Competition and moral behavior: A meta-analysis of forty-five crowd-sourced experimental designs
(with Christoph Huber, Anna Dreber, Jürgen Huber, +90, and Felix Holzmeister)
Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences, 2023, 120(23).
[+]Article [+]Website [+]Thread
A meta-science paper in which teams of two investigated the same research question of whether competition affects moral behavior.
[2] Learning to deal with repeated shocks under strategic complementarity: An experiment
(with Camille Cornand and Adam Zylbersztejn)
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2022, 200, pp. 1318-1343.
Do economies spend less time in disequilibrium the more shocks they experience? If so, does the pattern of shocks matter for learning?
[1] Imperfect tacit collusion and asymmetric price transmission
(with David Hales, Patrick Julius, and Weiwei Tasch)
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2021, 192, pp. 584-599.
[+]Article [+]Appendix [+]Thread
Do prices react asymmetrically to positive and negative cost shocks, even in the absence of real frictions? What is the role of tacit collusion in asymmetries?
Work-in-progress
Better than perceived? Correcting misperceptions about central bank inflation forecasts
[+]BSoE WP [+]Thread [+]Pre-registration [+]Short video
How do German households perceive the ECB's forecasting performance? What happens when they are informed about the objective performance?
Irrational inattention
(with Ciril Bosch-Rosa and Bernhard Kassner)
Does overprecision distort the attention allocation? Do rational inattention and overprecision reinforce each other when forming beliefs?