"L’histoire des sciences est l’histoire des défaites de l’irrationalisme."
Gaston Bachelard, L’Activité rationaliste de la physique contemporaine, (PUF, ed. 1951), p.27.
Working papers
Consumer beliefs about central bank inflation forecasts
(submitted)
[+]WP [+]Thread [+]PAP (Study 1) [+]PAP (Study 2)
Why do consumers' inflation expectations differ so greatly from central banks' forecasts? What role do perceived accuracy and bias play?
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Irrational inattention
(with Ciril Bosch-Rosa and Bernhard Kassner)
We use theory and experiments to show whether overprecision causes inattention.
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Publications
[4] Measuring strategic-uncertainty attitudes
(with Lisa Bruttel, Camille Cornand, Adam Zylbersztejn, and Frank Heinemann)
Experimental Economics, 2023, 26, pp. 522-549.
[+]Article [+]GATE WP [+]Thread
A pre-results reviewed experiment in which we propose a simple method for measuring strategic-uncertainty attitudes for 2x2 games.
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[3] Competition and moral behavior: A meta-analysis of forty-five crowd-sourced experimental designs
(with Christoph Huber, Anna Dreber, Jürgen Huber, +90, and Felix Holzmeister)
Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences, 2023, 120(23).
A meta-science paper in which teams of two investigated the same research question of whether competition affects moral behavior.
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[2] Learning to deal with repeated shocks under strategic complementarity: An experiment
(with Camille Cornand and Adam Zylbersztejn)
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2022, 200, pp. 1318-1343.
Do economies spend less time in disequilibrium the more shocks they experience? If so, does the pattern of shocks matter for learning?
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[1] Imperfect tacit collusion and asymmetric price transmission
(with David Hales, Patrick Julius, and Weiwei Tasch)
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2021, 192, pp. 584-599.
[+]Article [+]Appendix [+]Thread
Do prices react asymmetrically to positive and negative cost shocks, even in the absence of real frictions? What is the role of tacit collusion in asymmetries?
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Work in progress
Beliefs and behavior: Causality in information experiments with cross learning
(with Julius Schölkopf)
We quantify the bias in two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimates that use information treatments as the first stage to identify the causal effects of beliefs on behavior in the presence of cross-learning.
​Presentations (upcoming are italic): Advances in Field Experiments 2025 Conference and 12th HKMetrics.
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